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Egypt’s New Delta mega-project represents the largest horizontal agricultural expansion in modern Egyptian history, creating an urgent need for cost-effective land-cover and crop monitoring systems capable of operating under hyper-arid conditions. This study evaluates the operational feasibility of machine learning (ML)-based land-cover and crop classification using multi-temporal Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery in the El-Daba Development Corridor, Egypt, a hyper-arid component of newly irrigated desert land. Sentinel-1 Ground Range Detected (GRD) data (vertical-vertical (VV) and vertical-horizontal (VH) polarizations) acquired from January to December 2025 were processed within Google Earth Engine (GEE). Monthly composite images were generated to capture phenological development, from which backscatter features, polarization ratios and differences, statistical descriptors, the Radar Vegetation Index (RVI), and Gray-Level Co-occurrence Matrix (GLCM) texture features were extracted. K-Means clustering (K = 10) provided an initial stratification of the feature space, while Random Forest (RF) classification was trained on 840 samples (70%) and validated on 358 independent samples (30%). Temporal backscatter analysis revealed distinct phenological signatures: wheat and sugar beet peaked in March (VV = −7 dB), maize reached maximum backscatter in July (VH = −12 dB, RVI = 0.70), and perennial crops maintained stable signatures year-round. Feature importance analysis identified VH in July (8.7%), VV in March (7.9%), and RVI in July (7.2%) as the most discriminative variables, confirming that combining observations from multiple phenological periods substantially enhances crop separability. The RF classifier achieved 90.5% overall accuracy with a Kappa coefficient of 0.895, with per-class accuracies ranging from 77.8% (vegetables) to 100% (non-agricultural classes). Optimal discrimination windows were identified as February-March for winter cereals, June-July for summer maize, and January/May-June for potato. These results demonstrate that SAR-only land-cover and crop mapping can deliver operationally useful accuracy in hyper-arid environments where optical imagery is constrained, providing a scalable foundation for agricultural monitoring in Egypt’s desert reclamation frontiers and comparable arid systems globally.
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Fadl et al. (2026) studied this question.
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