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An unmodelled external convergence biases the Hubble constant inferred from time delays by the factor implied by the mass-sheet transformation. Using published per-system convergence estimates for the six H0LiCOW fields, with a sample mean of 0.0295 and root-mean-square 0.03, ignoring the correction entirely would bias the combined Hubble constant high by 2.16 km/s/Mpc. Reaching half-per-cent accuracy on the sample mean requires the mean convergence known to 0.005, which, at a realistic per-field uncertainty of 0.03, demands of order 36 independent fields, or per-field precision well beyond what galaxy-count methods currently deliver. The environment correction is therefore a first-rank term in the budget, not a refinement. Computed from published values; not measured.
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William Alexander Aldred (2026) studied this question.
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