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In this short contribution, we explore the prior dependence of the recent DESI results, according to which a Bayesian comparison of CDM with w₀wₐCDM cosmologies favors dynamical dark energy. It is a simple exercise to show that extending the prior lower bound of the dark energy parameters tilts the preference in favor of CDM. Adopting the PantheonPlus supernovae catalog, for instance, a shift of the lower bound for w₀, wₐ from -3 to beyond -4. 6 and -5, respectively, is sufficient to favor CDM. This calls for caution when interpreting DESI results in the Bayesian context.
Patel et al. (Tue,) studied this question.
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