Evaluation of a Hybrid Solar–Combined Heat and Power System for Off-Grid Winter Energy Supply

The study investigates a hybrid energy system integrating photovoltaic (PV) panels, micro-CHP units, battery storage, and thermal storage to meet the winter energy demands of a residential building in Bacău, Romania. Using real-world experimental data from amorphous, polycrystalline, and monocrystalline PV panels, C++ Model 1 simulates building energy needs and PV system performance under varying irradiance levels. The results show that PV systems alone cannot meet the total winter demand, with polycrystalline slightly outperforming monocrystalline, yet still falling short. A second computational model (C++ Model 2) simulates hybrid energy flow, demonstrating how the CHP unit and storage systems can ensure off-grid autonomy. The model dynamically manages energy between components based on daily irradiance scenarios. The findings reveal critical thresholds for PV surplus, optimal CHP sizing, and realistic battery and thermal storage needs. This paper provides a practical framework for designing efficient, data-driven hybrid solar–CHP systems for cold climates. The novelty lies in the integration of real-world PV efficiency data with a dynamic irradiance-driven simulation framework, enabling precise hybrid system sizing for winter-dominant regions.