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September 10, 2025Desimal Jurnal MatematikaOpen Access

The multiplicative decomposition method: Prediction of tuberculosis cases in Medan City

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Authors

FFFikry Wira Afandi FikryRARima Aprilia

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Overview

This research predicts tuberculosis cases in Medan City for 2025, indicating effective forecasting methods for public health initiatives.

Key Points

  • The multiplicative decomposition method forecasts future tuberculosis cases with very good accuracy.
  • Mean Absolute Deviation was 0.0376 and Mean Square Error was 0.0549, demonstrating effective forecasting.
  • Analysis utilized tuberculosis case data from January 2020 to December 2024 sourced from the Medan City Health Department.
  • Findings support public health initiatives aimed at controlling tuberculosis infections in Medan City.

Cite This Study

Fikry et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68c183f09b7b07f3a060fa19https://doi.org/10.24042/hygtq021
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