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Quantitative analysis shows the rupiah exchange rate significantly affects trade balance, indicating economic dynamics.
This study aims to determine the effect of the rupiah exchange rate and inflation on the trade balance in Indonesia 2014-2024. This study uses quantitative methods and analysis used multiple regression analysis by testing the t-test and F-test hypotheses. Secondary data collection in this study came from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Bank Indonesia and the Ministry of Trade and relevant studies. The results of the data analysis prove that partially the rupiah exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on the trade balance, meaning that a higher exchange rate will result in a trade balance surplus, in other parts different results were found that inflation did not have a significant effect on the trade balance in Indonesia so, although inflation is an important economic phenomenon, its impact on the trade balance is not always significant directly and partially. The rupiah exchange rate and inflation simultaneously affect the trade balance, meaning that these two key variables are directly related to prices and competitiveness in international trade, so the analysis of the simultaneous influence of both is very relevant to understanding the economic health of a countryAbstract: This study aims to determine the effect of the rupiah exchange rate and inflation on the trade balance in Indonesia 2014-2024. This study uses quantitative methods and analysis used multiple regression analysis by testing the t-test and F-test hypotheses. Secondary data collection in this study came from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Bank Indonesia and the Ministry of Trade and relevant studies. The results of the data analysis prove that partially the rupiah exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on the trade balance, meaning that a higher exchange rate will result in a trade balance surplus, in other parts different results were found that inflation did not have a significant effect on the trade balance in Indonesia so, although inflation is an important economic phenomenon, its impact on the trade balance is not always significant directly and partially. The rupiah exchange rate and inflation simultaneously affect the trade balance, meaning that these two key variables are directly related to prices and competitiveness in international trade, so the analysis of the simultaneous influence of both is very relevant to understanding the economic health of a country.
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Ulfah et al. (2025) studied this question.
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