On the application of a new approach to forecasting dips in the surface zone of water-filled massifs for assessing risks in the flooding of the «Anthracite» mine

The article presents the results of geodynamic monitoring of the mining allotment of the «Anthracite» mine under conditions of uncontrolled flooding of the mined-out space and mine workings. Calculations and mapping of near-surface zones that are dangerous for the occurrence of dips were completed according to the standard methodology and using a neural algorithm. According to the standard methodology, 21 failure-hazardous zones were identified. Due to the fact that a significant part of the zones posing a threat of the formation of failures of the earth’s surface are located on the territory of residential buildings or on agricultural lands, a failure-hazard forecast was made using a neural network. As a result of the forecast, the number of zones posing a threat in the next 20 years was reduced to 11, and their area decreased by 2.5 times. Such a forecast allows minimizing the costs of implementing measures to protect the earth’s surface from the harmful effects of mining operations.