This analysis reveals Turkey's vital role in IS-Khorasan's expansion, indicating both opportunities and challenges.
This study is the first to provide a systematic account of a vital component of IS-Khorasan's global operations: the "Turkey nexus". Drawing on the indictment from the largest Turkish trial against ISK members, it shows that Turkey plays a key role in the group's global expansion; that it does not, however, function as an independent center of power; and that ISK has largely failed to mount successful attacks inside Turkey. Our conclusion: For ISK, Turkey is both an asset and a vulnerability. Claims that the group represents "the next ISIS" should therefore be approached with caution.
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Neumann et al. (2025) studied this question.
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