Research updates initiating event frequencies for accident sequences from internal floods and line breaks, suggesting improved risk management strategies.
Utilities that operate nuclear power plants are increasingly using probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs) to make day-to-day decisions on design, operations, and maintenance and to support risk-informed applications. These applications require high-quality and complete PRAs to ensure that the decisions and proposed changes are technically well-founded. Such PRAs include the modeling and quantification of PRA models for accident sequences initiated by internal floods and high-energy line breaks. To support PRA updates and upgrades for such sequences, the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) has sponsored ongoing research to develop and refine guidance and generic data that can be used to estimate initiating event frequencies for internal flood- and high-energy line break-induced accident sequences. In 2023, EPRI published the fifth revision of a generic database for these initiating event frequencies. This revision produced advancements in the methodology for passive component reliability, including the quantification of aging effects on pipe rupture frequencies and the capability to adjust these frequencies to account for enhancements to integrity management strategies associated with leak inspections and non-destructive examinations. The purpose of this paper is to present these enhancements and illustrate their application with selected examples.
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Fleming et al. (2025) studied this question.
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