Retrospective analysis shows rising minimum outdoor temperatures in Moscow, suggesting reduced thermal loads and enhanced structural durability.
Climate has a significant impact on energy consumption and thermal loads of buildings and, as a consequence, on the entire engineering and energy complex. In this regard, the analysis of climate change is extremely important for predicting its functioning and further development. The analysis of changes in average daily and hourly values of outdoor air temperatures in Moscow for the period from 1991 to 2020 was performed. It is shown that over the thirty-year period under consideration, there is a stable trend of increasing average daily and hourly minimum outdoor air temperatures. This helps to reduce the actual thermal loads of consumers. At the same time, the maximum average daily and hourly amplitudes of outdoor air temperature in Moscow are steadily decreasing, which should have a positive effect on the durability of load-bearing and enclosing structures that are not protected from daily and seasonal changes in outdoor air temperatures
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Vasilyev et al. (2025) studied this question.
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