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September 30, 2025LandOpen Access

Modeling the Short- and Long-Term Impacts of Climate Change on Wheat Production in Egypt Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach

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A 1% increase in harvested area boosts wheat production by 1.08%, highlighting land use's critical role.
Conversely, a rise in CO2 emissions can reduce wheat production by 1.76%, indicating environmental stresses.
The study uses data from 1961 to 2022, applying the autoregressive distributed lag approach to examine key influencing factors.
Findings emphasize the need for technological advancements to ensure sustainable wheat production amid climate challenges.

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This analysis uncovers the impact of climatic factors on wheat production in Egypt, suggesting vital policy implications for food security.

Alboghdady et al. (2025) studied this question.

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This analysis uncovers the impact of climatic factors on wheat production in Egypt, suggesting vital policy implications for food security.