This model improves spatiotemporal prediction of ionospheric total electron content, highlighting its effectiveness against RMSE metrics.
The Denoising Wavelet Transform Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Network (DWTConvLSTM) is a novel ionospheric total electron content (TEC) spatiotemporal prediction model proposed in 2025 that can simultaneously consider high-frequency and low-frequency features while suppressing noise. However, it also has flaws as it only considers unidirectional temporal features in spatiotemporal prediction. To address this issue, this paper adopts a bidirectional structure and designs a bidirectional DWTConvLSTM model that can simultaneously extract bidirectional spatiotemporal features from TEC maps. Furthermore, we integrate a lightweight attention mechanism called Convolutional Additive Self-Attention (CASA) to enhance important features and attenuate unimportant ones. The final model was named CASA-BiDWTConvLSTM. We validated the effectiveness of each improvement through ablation experiments. Then, a comprehensive comparison was performed on the 11-year Global Ionospheric Maps (GIMs) dataset, involving the proposed CASA-BiDWTConvLSTM model and several other state-of-the-art models such as C1PG, ConvGRU, ConvLSTM, and PredRNN. In this experiment, the dataset was partitioned into 7 years for training, 2 years for validation, and the final 2 years for testing. The experimental results indicate that the RMSE of CASA-BiDWTConvLSTM is lower than those of C1PG, ConvGRU, ConvLSTM, and PredRNN. Specifically, the decreases in RMSE during high solar activity years are 24.84%, 16.57%, 13.50%, and 10.29%, respectively, while the decreases during low solar activity years are 26.11%, 16.83%, 11.68%, and 7.04%, respectively. In addition, this article also verified the effectiveness of CASA-BiDWTConvLSTM from spatial and temporal perspectives, as well as on four geomagnetic storms.
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Sun et al. (2025) studied this question.
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