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October 1, 2025Open Access

Disrupting the Poverty Trap: Political Budget Cycles and the Interlocking Movement in Decentralized Indonesia

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Poverty reduction is significantly influenced by Regional Original Income and Social Assistance Expenditures, indicating fiscal resilience.
Quantitative analysis revealed a 10.60% model fit for poverty variation based on fiscal, political, and governance factors.
The study employs a mixed methods approach, integrating quantitative panel data analysis with qualitative document review and expert interviews.
Strengthening institutional frameworks is essential to mitigate political manipulation and enhance long-term poverty alleviation strategies.

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Mixed methods analysis reveals political budget cycles impact poverty in Central Java, suggesting reforms for fiscal policy alignment.

mhy et al. (2025) studied this question.

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