Source-to-Sink Transport Processes of Floating Marine Macro-Litter in the Bohai Sea and Yellow Sea (BYS)

The accumulation of floating marine macro-litter (FMML) poses a major threat to coastal ecosystems, yet its transport dynamics in semi-enclosed seas remain poorly understood. This study establishes the first regional model to simulate the source-to-sink transport processes of FMML in the Bohai and Yellow Seas (BYS). By combining a high-resolution hydrodynamic model with Lagrangian particle tracking, we successfully reproduced observed spatiotemporal distribution patterns and accumulation hotspots. Our simulations reveal that the heterogeneity of FMML distribution is co-regulated by seasonal hydrodynamic variations and anthropogenic activities. We identified two major cross-regional transport pathways originating from Laizhou Bay and the northern Shandong Peninsula. Furthermore, backward particle tracking traced summer FMML hotspots to potential high-emission sources along the northern Jiangsu coast and the Yangtze River estuary. Despite limitations in emission inventories, this study provides a crucial mechanistic framework for FMML management in the BYS and a transferable methodology for other regional seas.