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September 10, 2024

CHIP50 Report #105: No change: Evaluating the short-term impact of the first presidential debate on voter preferences

David Lazer Matthew Baum James Druckman Ata Uslu Katherine Ognyanova Roy H. Perlis Mauricio Santillana Hong Qu

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Abstract

We compared the voting preferences of respondents who had previously participated in the April-May wave of CHIP50 to those of the same individuals reported during the week following the June 27 US presidential debate. Our results indicate a modest churn of voters’ preferences, with no substantial shift in the race between Biden and Trump

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Lazer et al. (2024) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68e58ed3b6db64358752a55f https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/trvfb

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