Bolivia coup bid will help Arce but only temporarily

Significance The general behind the revolt appears to have sought to resolve the impasse between Arce and former President Evo Morales (2006-19) by forcing the government to take a firmer line regarding the latter’s determination to return to the presidency next year. His move lacked support within both the military and the police force. It was widely condemned internationally. Impacts The failed coup may reduce the likelihood of further attempts in Bolivia for some time but will heighten awareness of coup risks regionally. Arce will remain dependent on support from the new head of the army. Morales will not easily be prevailed upon not to stand for the presidency. Economic problems are likely to worsen over the next six months.