MAS rift looks set to worsen further in Bolivia

Significance The situation risks turning into a severe constitutional crisis with the legislature and judiciary challenging one another. Morales has once again defied a judicial veto on his standing in the 2025 presidential elections. The conflict is exacerbating the economic and social difficulties facing President Luis Arce’s government. Impacts Morales shows no sign of willingness to bow out of the presidential race. Bolivia’s weakly constituted judicial and electoral institutions will come under further strain. The results of the 2023 census will decide the regional distribution of seats in a future Assembly.