The article considers the phenomenon of geo-economic fragmentation in the context of digitalization of social life and in the formation of new contours of the macroeconomic system. Particular attention is paid to Russia’s sustainability in the conditions of sanctions attacks. The author analyzes the data presented by major international organizations, predicting the consequences of global tectonic processes. The study highlights the problems arising from growing debt, limited resources and increasing global population. It is noted that in these conditions the US often initiates quick decisions, such as redistribution of commodity markets, which leads to complex consequences for the whole world. The article considers the problem of the emergence of macro-regions and crystallization of new poles in the global macroeconomic system, and assesses the possibility of forming a multipolar world. The conclusion is that international organizations forecast short- and medium-term geo-economic fragmentation, and the reconfiguration of ties and the division of the world into macro-regions are unable to lead to a sharp decline in macroeconomic indicators, which is confirmed by the analysis of trade relations between different countries and regions.
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А. Р. Бахтизин (2024) studied this question.
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