This analysis shows severe drought impacts in the Koel River Basin, indicating climate extremes contribute to water scarcity.
This present study demonstrates the assessment of agricultural drought hazard based on satellite indices for drought risk mapping in part of the South Koel river basin (India) with coverage of (7261 km2). Satellite-based drought indices and NDVI anomalies have been calculated using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data sets. The variations in vegetation condition from years 2000–2023 for the month of October were examined using additional NDVI and LST products from MODIS data. Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Temperature Condition Index (TCI), and Vegetation Health Index (VHI) are satellite-based drought indices that were used for agricultural mapping. The study area’s long-term NDVI anomaly demonstrates the negative impact of climate extremes during the past 23 years. Values in drought-prone areas ranged from 10 to 50. The majority of the study area has been severely impacted by drought in 2001, 2005, 2010, and 2023, with water scarcity and mediocre vegetative conditions. Results showed that 59.33% of the study area is in drought risk zone and, among the five districts in the study area, Gumla is in high-risk zone. It covers 610 villages and spans an area of 3275 km2, out of which 2119 km2 with a population of 415,341 are specifically at high risk.
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Chaudhary et al. (2025) studied this question.
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