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November 11, 2025International Journal of Environmental Research and Public HealthOpen Access

Hospital Readmission in Stroke Survivors in Social Vulnerability: Predictive Modeling with Machine Learning from the Perspective of the Chronic Conditions Care Model

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Authors

ESErisonval Saraiva da SilvaTMThereza Maria Magalhães MoreiraASAna Célia Caetano de Souza

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Overview

This model demonstrates predictive modeling for hospital readmission in stroke survivors with social vulnerability, indicating significant complications associated with increased risk.

Key Points

  • The study aims to develop a predictive model for hospital readmission among socially vulnerable stroke survivors using machine learning techniques.
  • Applied machine learning algorithms including decision tree and logistic regression.
  • Data was split into training (70% and 80%) and testing (30% and 20%) sets.
  • Analyses conducted using Python, evaluated with ROC curves, AUC, and confusion matrix.
  • The decision tree model achieved an accuracy of 92.45% with an 80/20 data partition.
  • Falls, time since the first stroke, caregiver presence, and difficulty sleeping were key variables associated with readmission.
  • Falls increased readmission risk by 235%, ischemic stroke by 155%, and COVID-19 by 132%.

Cite This Study

Silva et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69252e9ec0ce034ddc3564d1https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22111705
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