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Analysis reveals growing influence of China in Central America, suggesting shifts in power dynamics with implications for Panama.
The article examines the relations of the Central American states with the USA and China at the present stage in the context of the rivalry of power centers within the region. By statistical descriptive analysis and the study of the domestic political context, the authors have identified a trend towards the aggravation of political and economic contradictions in the struggle for influence over Central American countries. The greatest potential for conflict is expected in Guatemala, Honduras and Panama. While maintaining the current balance of power Washington will remain dominant in Costa Rica, El Salvador and Nicaragua. Taking into account the authors' hypothesis that the dynamics and proportions of arms supplies from the great powers reflect the balance of power in foreign policy control, the US political influence in the region stays strong. At the same time China using a strategy of economic cooperation is contributing to the erosion of competitor's dominance, which can be reinforced by military supplies from alternative arms exporters.
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Mikhail Rykhtik (2025) studied this question.
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