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December 16, 2025International Journal of Energy ResearchOpen Access

Forecasting Solar Photovoltaic Power Generation: A Machine Learning Time Series Model Approach

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Authors

ANAfroza NaharRRRifat Al Mamun RudroMSMd. Faruk Abdullah Al Sohan

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Overview

Novel hybrid ensemble predicts solar energy variability in power generation, suggesting enhanced forecasting accuracy.

Key Points

  • The aim is to enhance the predictability of solar photovoltaic power generation using a new hybrid machine learning model.
  • Developed a hybrid machine learning time series model integrating physics-based features and data-driven regressors.
  • Utilized a 34-day dataset from two solar power plants in India to engineer features like irradiation and temperature.
  • Evaluated multiple machine learning models including linear regression, random forest, and decision trees for performance.
  • The hybrid model achieved an R 2 value of 98% for Plant 1 and 91% for Plant 2.
  • Root mean squared errors ranged from 36–66 for Plant 1 and 42–127 for Plant 2.
  • Linear regression and ridge regression showed superior individual performance among assessed models.

Cite This Study

Nahar et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6940ac893507a57a7f7a3776https://doi.org/10.1155/er/4092367
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