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November 17, 2020Scientific Reports72 citationsOpen Access

Deep learning to predict elevated pulmonary artery pressure in patients with suspected pulmonary hypertension using standard chest X ray

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KKKenya KusunoseCardiac ImagingYHYukina HirataTokushima University HospitalTTTakumasa TsujiTeikyo University

Key Result

Applying a deep learning algorithm to standard chest X-rays doubled the risk of future heart failure hospitalization in patients predicted to have pulmonary hypertension, with a hazard ratio of 1.9.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=900)

Multicenter

No

Structured PICO

Does an artificial intelligence deep learning model applied to standard chest X-rays accurately predict elevated pulmonary artery pressure and risk of heart failure in patients with suspected pulmonary hypertension?

P
Population
900 consecutive patients with suspected pulmonary hypertension (experienced symptoms or signs of heart failure) referred for right heart catheterization, mean age 67, 57% male, based in Japan. An additional 90 patients were used for internal validation and 55 patients for external validation.
I
Intervention
Artificial intelligence (AI) deep learning model (convolutional neural network) applied to standard chest X-rays to predict elevated pulmonary artery pressure (mean PAP > 20 mmHg)
C
Comparator
Human observers (consensus of 10 physicians) and manual measurements of CXR images (Hilum, PRHB, Hilum/chest ratio) blinded to right heart catheterization data
O
Outcome
Composite of admission or occurrence of heart failure with pulmonary hypertensioncomposite

A deep learning algorithm applied to standard chest X-rays can identify elevated pulmonary artery pressure with modest accuracy and stratify the risk of future heart failure events.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 1.9 (95% CI 1.5-2.4)

Absolute Event Rate: 37% vs 22%

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • The study population was modest with a total of 900 patients.
  • Did not make the model to predict specific types of pulmonary hypertension due to limited numbers.
  • Population included high-risk patients with indications for right heart catheterization.
  • The model's accuracy was modest and needs validation in a general screening setting.
  • Modest number of patients
  • Model does not predict specific types of PH (e.g., pre-capillary vs post-capillary)
  • Tested in a high-risk population already indicated for RHC, not a general screening setting
  • Modest accuracy of the AI algorithm

Abstract

Abstract Accurate diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension (PH) is crucial to ensure that patients receive timely treatment. We hypothesized that application of artificial intelligence (AI) to the chest X-ray (CXR) could identify elevated pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) and stratify the risk of heart failure hospitalization with PH. We retrospectively enrolled a total of 900 consecutive patients with suspected PH. We trained a convolutional neural network to identify patients with elevated PAP (> 20 mmHg) as the actual value of PAP. The endpoints in this study were admission or occurrence of heart failure with elevated PAP. In an independent evaluation set for detection of elevated PAP, the area under curve (AUC) by the AI algorithm was significantly higher than the AUC by measurements of CXR images and human observers (0.71 vs. 0.60 and vs. 0.63, all p < 0.05). In patients with AI predicted PH had 2-times the risk of heart failure with PH compared with those without AI predicted PH. This preliminary work suggests that applying AI to the CXR in high risk groups has limited performance when used alone in identifying elevated PAP. We believe that this report can serve as an impetus for a future large study.

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Cite This Study

Kusunose et al. (2020) conducted a cohort in pulmonary hypertension (n=900). deep learning algorithm for chest X-ray vs. standard chest X-ray measurements and human observers was evaluated on admission or occurrence of heart failure with elevated pulmonary artery pressure (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.5-2.4, p=<0.001). Applying a deep learning algorithm to standard chest X-rays doubled the risk of future heart failure hospitalization in patients predicted to have pulmonary hypertension, with a hazard ratio of 1.9.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6970091f37bf87c8650dab6chttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-76359-w
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