What question did this study set out to answer?

The study aims to assess the economic implications of Trump's protectionist measures in the US-China trade relationship.

The return of Trump’s threat: a new episode of the US-China trade war

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This analysis investigates the economic effects of Trump's tariffs on US-China trade, indicating significant disruptions and sectoral shifts.

The study aims to assess the economic implications of Trump's protectionist measures in the US-China trade relationship.
Conduct simulations of tariff escalation scenarios using the GTAP model.
Analyze key economic indicators affected by reciprocation of tariffs.
Examine sectoral impacts in both the US and China.
Reciprocal tariff increases lead to significant declines in GDP, investment, and household income.
Labor-intensive sectors in the US gained, while high-tech sectors faced losses.
China's energy sector grew due to increased import substitution.

Achmad Rifa’i (2026) studied this question.

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This analysis investigates the economic effects of Trump's tariffs on US-China trade, indicating significant disruptions and sectoral shifts.