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February 6, 2026European Heart Journal0 citations

Prognostic assessment of the combination of subclinical congestion parameters in worsening heart failure events and 90-day mortality

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LBL BurgosRVR C Baro VilaASAna Spaccavento

Key Result

Meeting optimal decongestion criteria at discharge significantly reduced the 90-day composite of AHF readmission, unplanned WHF visits, or death compared to non-optimal criteria (0% vs 42.4%; p<0.001).

Key Points

  • To assess the prognostic significance of combining inferior vena cava ultrasound, lung ultrasound, and NT-ProBNP in predicting 90-day outcomes in heart failure patients.
  • Conducted as a substudy of a randomized controlled trial involving adult acute heart failure patients.
  • Utilized daily IVC and lung ultrasounds, and NT-ProBNP measurements at admission and discharge.
  • Categorized patients based on pre-defined optimal decongestion criteria before analyzing outcomes.
  • Forty-seven percent of patients met optimal decongestion criteria pre-discharge.
  • The Optimal group showed a significant reduction in adverse events (0% vs. 42.4% in Non-optimal) at 90 days (log-rank p <0.001).
  • The study highlights a strong association between multiparametric assessment and improved 90-day outcomes.

Study Design

Type

RCT (n=60)

Structured PICO

Does meeting optimal multiparametric decongestion criteria at discharge reduce 90-day mortality and worsening heart failure events in adult patients with acute heart failure?

P
Population
60 adult patients with acute heart failure, mean age 76.7 years and 31.7% female, followed for 90 days.
I
Intervention
Optimal decongestion at discharge defined by HFA-ESC criteria (<5 B-lines on lung ultrasound, IVC <21 mm, collapsibility index >50%, and >30% reduction in NT-ProBNP between admission and discharge).
C
Comparator
Non-optimal decongestion at discharge (not meeting all three combined criteria).
O
Outcome
Composite of AHF readmission, unplanned visit due to worsening heart failure (WHF), or death at 90 days.composite

Multiparametric assessment of subclinical congestion using IVC, lung ultrasound, and NT-proBNP effectively identifies acute heart failure patients at very low risk for 90-day adverse events.

Main Result

Absolute Event Rate: 0% vs 42.4%

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • Small sample size requiring larger-scale studies to validate results and assess clinical impact
  • Small sample size

Abstract

Abstract Introduction Readmission due to acute heart failure (AHF) attributed to residual congestion at discharge is frequent and associated with a higher risk of worsening heart failure (WHF) events. Recently, the HFA-ESC has recommended pre-discharge decongestion goals, incorporating inferior vena cava (IVC) ultrasound, lung ultrasound (LUS), and NT-ProBNP. The combination of these variables and their prognostic impact post-discharge has not been explored. Objective To evaluate the prognostic impact of a multiparametric combination of IVC, LUS, and NT-ProBNP on 90-day clinical outcomes, including AHF readmission, unplanned visits due to WHF, or all-cause mortality. Methods This substudy is derived from a randomized controlled trial that included adult patients with AHF. NT-proBNP was measured at admission and discharge, and daily IVC and lung ultrasounds were performed until discharge using a quantitative protocol. These were conducted by independent physicians not involved in patient management and reported by an external core lab composed of 3 physicians. According to the HFA-ESC consensus, patients were categorized as "Optimal" if they met the following criteria: 5 B-lines on LUS, IVC 21 mm, collapsibility index 50%, and a 30% reduction in NT-ProBNP between admission and discharge. Patients not meeting all three combined criteria were categorized as "Non-optimal." The primary endpoint was a composite of AHF readmission, unplanned visit due to WHF, or death at 90 days. Results Sixty patients were included. The mean age was 76.7 ± 13 years, 68.3% were male, and the mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 44% ± 15. Patients had a high prevalence of comorbidities, including hypertension (75.8%), atrial fibrillation (53%), anemia (34.8%), and chronic kidney disease (42.4%). Forty-seven percent (n=27) of the cohort was discharged under optimal decongestion criteria. A significant reduction in AHF readmission, unplanned visits due to WHF, or death at 90 days was observed in the Optimal group (Optimal 0% vs. Non-optimal 42.4%; log-rank p 0.001). Figure 2 shows the Kaplan-Meier curve for the primary endpoint, comparing the Optimal versus Non-optimal groups. Conclusion The combination of multiple subclinical congestion parameters, including IVC ultrasound, lung ultrasound, and NT-ProBNP, identified a group of AHF patients with a very low risk of WHF events and mortality at 90 days post-discharge. These findings support the most recent HFA-ESC recommendations and suggest that multiparametric assessment may be superior to individual parameter evaluation in guiding discharge timing and reducing the risk of events. Larger-scale studies are needed to validate these results and assess their impact on clinical practice.

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Cite This Study

Burgos et al. (2025) conducted an RCT in Acute heart failure (n=60). Optimal decongestion criteria (<5 B-lines on LUS, IVC <21 mm, collapsibility index >50%, and >30% reduction in NT-ProBNP) vs. Non-optimal decongestion criteria was evaluated on Composite of AHF readmission, unplanned visit due to WHF, or death at 90 days (p=<0.001). Meeting optimal decongestion criteria at discharge significantly reduced the 90-day composite of AHF readmission, unplanned WHF visits, or death compared to non-optimal criteria (0% vs 42.4%; p<0.001).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6985852f8f7c464f23008694https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf784.1550
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