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February 8, 20260 citationsOpen Access

SGLT2 Inhibitors in Heart Failure: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials and Observational Studies

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MPMelike PolatZTZeynep Şeyma TürinayFGFatih Gümüşer

Key Result

SGLT2 inhibitors reduced cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization by 23% (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.72-0.82) in adults with heart failure across ejection fraction spectrum.

Key Points

  • To systematically evaluate the efficacy and safety of SGLT2 inhibitors in various heart failure phenotypes.
  • Conducted a meta-analysis of RCTs and observational studies.
  • Searched databases: MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, ClinicalTrials.gov from inception to November 2025.
  • Analyzed data using random-effects models for RCTs and observational studies separately.
  • Primary outcome assessed was the composite of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure.
  • SGLT2 inhibitors reduced cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure by approximately 25% compared with placebo.
  • The absolute risk reduction was 4-5% over a median follow-up of ~1.5 years.
  • Hospitalization for heart failure was reduced by ~30%, while cardiovascular death declined by ~15-18%.
  • All-cause mortality decreased by about 17%.
  • Effects were consistent across different heart failure phenotypes, diabetes status, and other demographic factors.

Study Design

Type

Meta-Analysis (n=327,749)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does SGLT2 inhibitor therapy reduce cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization in patients with heart failure across the ejection fraction spectrum?

P
Population
17 RCTs (n=20,749) and 21 observational studies (n>300,000) comprising adults (≥18 years) with heart failure across the ejection fraction spectrum (HFrEF, HFmrEF, HFpEF). Mean age ranged from 60-72 years, 25-48% female, with global representation (North America, Europe, Asia).
I
Intervention
SGLT2 inhibitors as a class (empagliflozin, dapagliflozin, canagliflozin, ertugliflozin, or sotagliflozin) added to standard heart failure therapy.
C
Comparator
Placebo (in RCTs) or non-use/other glucose-lowering drugs (in observational studies) added to standard heart failure therapy.
O
Outcome
Composite of cardiovascular (CV) death or hospitalization for heart failure (HHF)composite

SGLT2 inhibitors provide consistent and clinically meaningful reductions in heart failure hospitalizations and mortality across the entire ejection fraction spectrum, supported by both randomized and real-world evidence.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 0.77 (95% CI 0.72-0.82)

p-value: p=<0.0001

Limitations

  • Potential overlap among real-world datasets in observational studies
  • No head-to-head comparisons between individual SGLT2 inhibitors were performed
  • Observational studies sometimes did not isolate heart failure populations specifically
  • Long-term data beyond five years remained limited
  • Potential residual confounding in observational studies
  • Shorter follow-up in some observational studies
  • Heterogeneity and bias considerations when combining RCTs and observational studies

Abstract

Background: Heart failure (HF) remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Sodium–glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have demonstrated cardiovascular benefits in HF beyond glucose lowering, yet uncertainties remain regarding consistency across the ejection fraction spectrum, individual agents, and real-world populations. We conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies to evaluate the efficacy and safety of SGLT2 inhibitors across HF phenotypes.Methods: MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and ClinicalTrials.gov were systematically searched from inception through November 2025 for RCTs and observational cohort studies evaluating empagliflozin, dapagliflozin, canagliflozin, ertugliflozin, or sotagliflozin in HF patients. Studies compared SGLT2 inhibitors with placebo or standard care. To account for differing bias structures, RCTs and observational studies were analyzed separately using random-effects models. The primary outcome was the composite of cardiovascular (CV) death or hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Secondary outcomes included HHF alone, CV death, all-cause mortality, and safety endpoints. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I² statistic, publication bias with funnel plots and Egger’s test, and reporting followed PRISMA guidelines.Results: Seventeen RCTs, including 20,749 patients and 21 observational studies comprising more than 300,000 patients, were analyzed, spanning HFrEF, HFmrEF, and HFpEF populations. In pooled RCT analyses, SGLT2 inhibitors reduced CV death or HHF by approximately 25% compared with placebo (hazard ratio HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.68–0.78), corresponding to absolute risk reductions of 4–5% over a median follow-up of ~1.5 years. This benefit was largely driven by a ~30% reduction in HHF, while CV death declined by ~15–18%. All-cause mortality was reduced by ~17% (HR ~0.83). Treatment effects were consistent across agents, diabetes status, renal function, age, sex, and body mass index, and across the full ejection fraction spectrum. In HFpEF, CV death or HHF was reduced by ~17%, with a ~25% reduction in HHF alone, while numerically greater effects were observed in HFrEF. Observational data supported these findings, showing substantial reductions in HHF and all-cause mortality. Heterogeneity for primary RCT outcomes was low (I² <25%). SGLT2 inhibitors were well tolerated, with no excess risk of serious adverse events or major safety concerns.Conclusions: SGLT2 inhibitors provide consistent and clinically meaningful benefits in HF, significantly reducing HF hospitalizations and improving survival across HF phenotypes, with a favorable safety profile.

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Cite This Study

Polat et al. (2026) conducted a meta-analysis in Adults with heart failure (including HFrEF, HFmrEF, and HFpEF) with mean age 65-70 years, 25-45% female, ~45% with diabetes, and 40-50% with chronic kidney disease (n=327,749). Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (empagliflozin, dapagliflozin, canagliflozin, ertugliflozin, sotagliflozin) vs. Placebo or standard care (non-use or other glucose-lowering therapies in observational studies) was evaluated on Composite of cardiovascular death or first hospitalization for heart failure (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.72-0.82, p=<0.0001). SGLT2 inhibitors reduced cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization by 23% (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.72-0.82) in adults with heart failure across ejection fraction spectrum.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698829410fc35cd7a88497c3https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18451383
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