What question did this study set out to answer?

The aim is to evaluate how climate change affects the distribution patterns of endangered coniferous and broad-leaved tree species in subtropical China.

February 9, 2026PlantsOpen Access

Differential Performance of Distribution Shifts Between Endangered Coniferous and Broad-Leaved Tree Species in Subtropical China Under Climate Change

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Authors

JMJie MiaoNanjing Forestry University YXYan XuSouth China Agricultural University DFDavid K. FergusonUniversity of Vienna

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Implication

Study assesses distribution shifts of endangered tree species in subtropical China, highlighting conservation implications.

Key Points

The aim is to evaluate how climate change affects the distribution patterns of endangered coniferous and broad-leaved tree species in subtropical China.
Selected nine rare and endangered tree species from subtropical forests.
Utilized an optimized MaxEnt model with environmental variables (climate, soil, topography).
Assessed suitable distribution patterns under various future climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP370, SSP585).
The model showed high predictive accuracy with mean AUC values exceeding 0.98.
Broad-leaved species are mostly limited by temperature, while coniferous species are more affected by moisture.
Under future climate scenarios, broad-leaved species are expected to expand, but coniferous species may face contractions.

Cite This Study

Miao et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698979b9f0ec2af6756e7a0e https://doi.org/10.3390/plants15030515

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Differential Performance of Distribution Shifts Between Endangered Coniferous and Broad-Leaved Tree Species in Subtropical China Under Climate Change

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Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Differential Performance of Distribution Shifts Between Endangered Coniferous and Broad-Leaved Tree Species in Subtropical China Under Climate Change

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

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