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September 10, 2025Journal of Plant Ecology

Prediction of potential suitable areas for dominant tree species in China under future climate change scenarios

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Authors

JGJiaqi GuoXi'an University of Science and TechnologyZZZihan ZhouUniversity of British ColumbiaTFTong FengKunming University of Science and Technology

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Overview

This analysis predicts habitat shifts for conifer and broadleaf species, highlighting climate change impacts under four SSP scenarios.

Key Points

  • Conifer species may experience distribution changes based on temperature, while broadleaf species depend on precipitation levels.
  • Under future climate conditions, dominant tree species are projected to shift northward and upward in elevation.
  • Pinus tabuliformis and Robinia pseudoacacia may significantly expand their suitable habitats by over 100,000 km2 by 2100.
  • Some species like Betula platyphylla are likely to face significant habitat loss, indicating urgent conservation needs.

Cite This Study

Guo et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68c1abf954b1d3bfb60e42b3https://doi.org/10.1093/jpe/rtaf103
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