Introduction: Potassium competitive acid blockers (PCABs) are superior to proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) for healing of Los Angeles (LA) class C/D erosive esophagitis (EE) and are approved for non-erosive gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) given their efficacy measured by heartburn-free days. However, they are more expensive than PPIs. We estimated the cost-effectiveness of PCABs compared to PPIs for the management of GERD. Methods: A decision tree was constructed for the base case of a patient with GERD. We tested scenarios in which NERD, LA A/B, or LA C/D esophagitis was present, comparing PCABs to PPIs as first-line therapy, including step up therapy and/or class switching if symptoms persisted. Using publicly available cost estimates, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were compared using a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $100,000/QALY from a societal perspective at 6 months. Results: The cost of PCABs for GERD was $3,240 more than PPIs, with an ICER of $144,208/QALY. When evaluating GERD phenotypes separately, the ICER was consistently over our WTP threshold. One-way analyses showed the most influential parameters were PCAB cost and efficacy for heartburn-free days. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis favored PPIs 71.7% out of 100,000 iterations. Reducing one-week costs to below $91 would make PCABs a cost effective first-line strategy across all GERD phenotypes. Discussion: Despite PCAB efficacy, PPIs are a cost-effective strategy for GERD treatment, and can be positioned ahead of PCAB escalation on this basis. Reducing PCAB costs or accepting a higher WTP threshold would influence this finding, though PCABs may be favored in some current situations as evidenced by probabilistic sensitivity results.
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