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This research aims to analyze export performance trends in Central and Eastern European economies and forecast future developments.

February 16, 2026Open Access

Econometric Analysis and Forecasts on Exports of Emerging Economies from Central and Eastern Europe

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This research aims to analyze export performance trends in Central and Eastern European economies and forecast future developments.
Examined export performance in seven CEE economies using annual World Bank data.
Applied econometric techniques including descriptive statistics, Augmented Dickey–Fuller tests, and ARIMA models.
Conducted Granger causality analysis to explore the relationship between foreign direct investment and export growth.
Identified a long-term upward trend in export intensity across CEE countries influenced by European integration.
Found significant differences in export dependence and volatility among economies, with Slovakia and Hungary highly open to trade.
Demonstrated that foreign direct investment contributes to export growth, often with multi-year lags.

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Econometric analysis reveals export growth in emerging economies, highlighting the role of foreign investment and volatility.

Popescu et al. (2026) studied this question.

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