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This is a Observational study (also classified as: Literature Review).

August 25, 2025AgricultureOpen Access

Study on the Evolution and Forecast of Agricultural Raw Material Exports in Emerging Economies in Central and Eastern Europe Using Statistical Methods

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Exports of agricultural raw materials are declining in Central and Eastern Europe, with projected low levels for most countries by 2026.
The ARIMA model forecasts 0.93% for Poland and 4.19% for Croatia in agricultural export shares by 2026, indicating differing trajectories among nations.
Statistical tests confirm non-stationarity in export data, necessitating complex modeling for accurate forecasting.
The findings highlight agriculture's continued importance for food security, while recommending investment in modernization and market diversification.

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Statistical analysis shows declining agricultural exports in emerging economies, indicating a shift toward industrialization.

Popescu et al. (2025) studied this question.

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