Abstract Uptake of tamoxifen is limited to 5-15% of all eligible women due to concerns regarding medication side effects combined with the lack of ability to predict which women will benefit from the therapies. We used a unique retrospective sample of n=92 high-risk women with paired benign biopsies obtained before (PreTam) and during tamoxifen (OnTam) to discover tissue gene expression biomarkers of biologic response, defined as change (Δ) in lobular Ki67. Ki67 was digitally quantified in normal lobules from PreTam and OnTam benign tissue samples and samples with PreTam Ki67 = 0 were excluded. Data were analyzed from 51 women with both PreTam and OnTam Ki67 (median age = 49 years and median BMI = 25.5 kg/m2 at PreTam biopsy). OnTam biopsies were collected a median of 11.5 months after PreTam biopsy (median 6.5 months after starting tamoxifen; dose 20 mg/day in 86%). Median Ki67 significantly decreased overall (Δ Ki67 = -0.29%, p=0.003), but the effect was restricted to women with baseline Ki67 ≥ 0.5% (n=38, Δ Ki67 = -0.78%, p=0.0002); no significant change occurred with baseline Ki67 0.5 (Δ Ki67 = 0.19%, p=0.23). Δ Ki67 was inversely proportional to baseline Ki67. RNA-seq was successful for 171 benign tissue samples (including 53 PreTam-OnTam pairs). After edgeR normalization (14,600 genes), PreTam vs OnTam comparison across 33 pairs with baseline Ki67 ≥ 0.5% yielded 66 differentially expressed genes (fold-change 2 and p0.01). At p0.01, ranked gene set enrichment analysis revealed 27 gene sets enriched for reduced expression with Tam (with top-ranked gene set related to steroid hormone biosynthesis) and 59 gene sets enriched for increased expression with Tam (with top-ranking gene sets related to B cell and T cell receptor signaling, regulation of cell cycle, and other immune-related pathways). To identify predictors of response, we correlated baseline PreTam gene expression with Δ Ki67 in 37 women with available baseline PreTam RNAseq and Δ Ki67 data. Partial correlation analysis (via ‘ppcor’ package, adjusted for library qubit) revealed 73 genes with significant positive correlation (rho 0.50) and 14 genes with significant negative correlation (rho -0.50) with Δ Ki67 (p0.01). At p0.01, ranked gene set enrichment analysis yielded 67 gene sets enriched with negative correlation (i.e. increased expression associated with a reduction in Ki67), including pathways related to ribosome biogenesis, DNA recombination, and nucleic acid metabolic processes; there were 62 gene sets enriched for positive correlation (i.e. decreased expression associated with a reduction in Ki67), including pathways such as VEGF and ERBB signaling. Our data support (i) baseline Ki67 ≥ 0.5 % and (ii) an 87-gene baseline signature as complementary biomarkers of tamoxifen response. Prospective validation of this combined assay could target tamoxifen to the women most likely to benefit, potentially overcoming a major barrier to chemoprevention uptake. Citation Format: S. J. Winham, C. Wang, Y. Liu, B. M. McCauley, D. J. Tabrizi, D. L. Gehling, J. L. Fischer, L. R. Seymour, M. H. Solanki, M. E. Sherman, K. R. Lohani, T. L. Hoskin, D. C. Radisky, A. C. Degnim. Gene expression signatures of beneficial response to tamoxifen for breast cancer prevention abstract. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS3-01-18.
Winham et al. (Tue,) studied this question.