Simulations reveal future deforestation conflicts in Ecuador's Amazonas region, suggesting policy harmonization for conservation.
Four land use change scenarios were simulated in 2017–2036 for Lorento Canton, Ecuador, differing in the level of governance enforcement. Frequency of future deforestation hotspots indicate a spatial goal conflict between forest conservation and agricultural expansion policies. Future land use conflicts can be avoided by harmonizing sectoral policy needs while safe-guarding environmental integrity.
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Rummel et al. (2020) studied this question.
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