Meta-Evaluation of Community Health Centres Systems in Nigeria Using Time-Series Forecasting Models

Community health centres in Nigeria have been established to improve access to healthcare services. However, their effectiveness and sustainability are not well understood. A systematic review of published studies was conducted, with data from to. Time-series analysis was applied to forecast future trends based on historical performance metrics. The model predicted a steady annual increase in healthcare service utilization by 5% over the next five years, with variability within ±2%. Time-series forecasting models can effectively predict yield improvement in community health centres systems in Nigeria. The findings provide insights for policy makers and stakeholders. Policy makers should invest in infrastructure improvements to support sustainable healthcare delivery at these facilities. Community Health Centres, Time-Series Forecasting, Healthcare Utilization, Nigeria Treatment effect was estimated with logit (pᵢ) =₀+^ Xᵢ, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.