Purpose This study systematically evaluated the comparative effectiveness of pedagogical models (PMs) on multidimensional learning outcomes in physical education and examined the moderating role of instructional duration. Methods A systematic search was conducted across seven databases (e.g., Web of Science, PubMed) for studies published between 2000 and 2025. Methodological quality was assessed using MINORS. A Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis (NMA) was performed using standardized mean differences (SMDs) to enable comparison across diverse outcome measures. Results Sixty-five studies met the inclusion criteria. Probabilistic rankings suggested that Hybrid Pedagogical Models (HPMs) showed comparatively high effectiveness for tactical decision-making (SUCRA = 80.1%) and skill execution (SUCRA = 77.2%), Teaching Games for Understanding (TGfU) ranked highest for student motivation (SUCRA = 82.1%), and Sport Education (SE) demonstrated favourable effects for enjoyment (SUCRA = 74.0%). However, pairwise comparisons revealed overlapping credible intervals, indicating uncertainty in the magnitude of differences between models. In addition, significant publication bias was detected for skill execution outcomes ( p = 0.0077), suggesting that these effects should be interpreted cautiously. Subgroup analyses identified instructional duration as an important moderator, with interventions approaching or exceeding approximately 720 min—equivalent to a sustained instructional unit—associated with more consistent effects and reduced heterogeneity. Conclusion No single pedagogical model can be considered universally superior. Instead, the findings support a goal-oriented approach to model selection aligned with intended learning outcomes and implemented over sufficient instructional duration. Ensuring sustained exposure (≈720 min) appears critical for enabling student-centered pedagogies to realize their educational potential.
Jingxia et al. (Tue,) studied this question.
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