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March 14, 2026One HealthOpen Access

Modeling the impact of temperature and bird migration on the spread of West Nile virus

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Authors

PDPride DuveFSFelix Gregor SauerRLRenke Lühken

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Overview

Mathematical model reveals temperature and bird migration impact on West Nile virus spread in Germany, suggesting new intervention strategies.

Key Points

  • To model the spread of West Nile virus using temperature and bird migration factors.
  • Developed a spatial model using partial differential equations.
  • Incorporated temperature-dependent mosquito parameters and bird movement dynamics.
  • Conducted numerical simulations based on temperature data for Germany (2019-2025).
  • The model aligns well with actual WNV cases reported among birds and equids.
  • Temperature, diffusion of hosts, and mosquito biting preferences significantly influenced spread patterns.
  • The model can adapt to different geographic regions for similar studies.

Cite This Study

Duve et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b4ba2618185d8a39802c8ahttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.onehlt.2026.101386
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