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April 15, 2026GeoHealthOpen Access

West Nile Virus Transmission Suitability Modeling for Culex pipiens via Temperature and Humidity

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Authors

HJH. M. JonesDBD. M. Brett‐MajorJFJ. R. Fauver

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Overview

Models West Nile Virus transmission in Culex pipiens, suggesting improved disease predictions through temperature and humidity considerations.

Key Points

  • The study aims to improve transmission predictions of West Nile Virus for Culex pipiens by using a mechanistic modeling approach.
  • Adapted an existing R-language package, MVSE, for Culex pipiens.
  • Updated equations for mortality, biting rate, and incubation period.
  • Replaced Relative Humidity with Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD) for better accuracy in modeling.
  • Analyzed correlations between model predictions and annual disease cases at the county level.
  • Improved model correlations with annual disease cases, especially in areas with high Culex pipiens habitat suitability.
  • Achieved a correlation of 0.48 (p = 0.03) between model performance and Culex pipiens presence.
  • Demonstrated that temperature and VPD sensitivity in models leads to better species-specific predictions.

Cite This Study

Jones et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69df2bcae4eeef8a2a6b0b13https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gh001665
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