Key result
Pacemaker implantation linked to ~151% higher risk of post-ablation AF recurrence, partially mediated by elevated CILP1.
Why the study?
AF recurrence after radiofrequency ablation remains a clinical challenge and pacemaker implantation may influence outcomes, but the underlying molecular mechanisms are not well understood.
Does pacemaker implantation increase atrial fibrillation recurrence in symptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation patients undergoing their first catheter ablation?
Cohort (n=205)
No
Does pacemaker implantation increase atrial fibrillation recurrence in symptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation patients undergoing their first catheter ablation?
Effect estimate: HR 2.513 (95% CI 1.058-5.966)
p-value: p=0.037
Pacemaker implantation is associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation recurrence following radiofrequency ablation, a relationship that may be partially mediated by elevated plasma CILP1 levels.
Warrants caution with pacemaker implantation before AF ablation; hypothesis-generating for CILP1-mediated recurrence and needs prospective validation.
Atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence following radiofrequency ablation (RFA) remains a significant clinical challenge, and pacemaker implantation may influence outcomes. However, the underlying molecular mechanisms are not well understood. This study aimed to investigate whether pacemaker implantation is statistically associated with of AF recurrence and to identify proteomic biomarkers associated with this statistical relationship. We conducted a propensity score-matched cohort study and performed Cox proportional hazards analysis to assess the association between pacemaker implantation and AF recurrence. Exploratory plasma proteomic profiling was performed to identify differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) in a pilot cohort of paroxysmal AF patients with and without pacemakers. An independent validation cohort was used to confirm the findings via Cox analysis and biomarker quantification, followed by statistical mediation analysis. In the discovery cohort, pacemaker implantation was identified as an independent risk factor for post-ablation AF recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.349, 95% CI: 1.065–5.179, p = 0.034). Exploratory proteomic analysis revealed significantly elevated levels of cartilage intermediate layer protein 1 (CILP1) in pacemaker patients. In the validation cohort, pacemaker implantation remained an independent predictor of AF recurrence, and plasma CILP1 levels were significantly statistically associated with recurrence risk (AUC: 0.737, 95% CI: 0.633–0.842, p = 0.0005). Statistical mediation analysis indicated that elevated CILP1 levels were indirectly associated with the relationship between pacemaker implantation and AF recurrence (p = 0.022). Pacemaker implantation is associated with an increased risk of AF recurrence following RFA. This risk appears to be partially statistically mediated by elevated plasma CILP1 levels. These findings suggest CILP1 may serve as a potential biomarker for AF risk stratification. Given the pilot nature of the proteomic screening, further large-scale studies are warranted to validate these associations.
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Liu et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (n=205). Pacemaker implantation vs. No pacemaker implantation was evaluated on Atrial fibrillation recurrence post-ablation (HR 2.513, 95% CI 1.058-5.966, p=0.037). Pacemaker implantation independently increased the risk of post-ablation atrial fibrillation recurrence (HR 2.513), an effect partially mediated by elevated plasma CILP1 levels.
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