This economic evaluation finds significant drying technology efficiencies for apricot production in Central Asian countries, suggesting profitable opportunities.
Apricot (Prunus armeniacaL.) remains one of the key fruits of temperate zones, with Central Asia serving as a major centre of its origin and genetic diversity. The study aimed to evaluate the economic potential of fresh and dried apricot production and trade worldwide, with a special focus on Central Asian countries, and to assess the efficiency of various drying technologies. Data from FAOSTAT, WITS, Tridge and WTO for 2020-2025, along with a systematic review of scientific literature on drying technologies (Scopus, Web of Science, etc.), were used; return on investment (ROI) and gross profit were calculated for traditional sun drying, convective, infrared and freeze-drying methods assuming an annual output of 50 tonnes of dried apricots. It was established that global apricot production reached approximately 4.5 million tonnes in 2024; Turkey, Uzbekistan and Iran remain the leading producers, but in 2025 catastrophic spring frosts in Turkey (particularly in Malatya province) reduced output, causing a sharp rise in global prices for fresh and dried apricots. In Central Asia, Uzbekistan (~526-540 thousand tonnes in 2024), Tajikistan (~313-348 thousand tonnes in 2024-2025) and Kyrgyzstan (~57 thousand tonnes in 2023-2024) demonstrate substantial export potential; Turkey exported dried apricots worth USD 404.5 million in 2024, yet regional suppliers (especially Uzbekistan and Tajikistan) gain competitive advantages in 2025. ROI calculations showed: sun drying – 7.3%, convective – 23.4%, infrared – 28.5%, freeze-drying – 33.9%; infrared and freeze-drying provide the highest product quality. The findings can be applied by farmers, processors and investors in Central Asia (primarily Kyrgyzstan) to select appropriate drying technologies, reduce post-harvest losses and access premium export markets (EU, USA, Russia)
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Tynarbekova et al. (2026) studied this question.
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