Measurement and Spatiotemporal Evolution of Science and Technology Innovation Efficiency Based on Sustainable Development: Evidence from China

This study assesses regional science and technology (S&T) innovation efficiency across 30 Chinese provinces from 2011 to 2022, incorporating a sustainable development perspective. Employing a non-oriented global frontier super-slack-based measure (SBM) model that accounts for undesirable outputs, along with kernel density estimation, cluster analysis, and Moran’s I, the research investigates the spatiotemporal evolution of innovation dynamics. The findings demonstrate a marked upward trend, with the national average efficiency score rising from 0.260 to 0.703. Temporally, efficiency advanced through three stages: an initial period of universally low efficiency, a phase of widening disparities, and a final stage of overall improvement and stabilization. Spatial analysis reveals a persistent “strong in the east, weak in the west” disequilibrium; however, absolute β-convergence tests indicate a significant reduction in regional disparities (p < 0.05). Kernel density estimation reveals a shift from a polarized “pyramid” shape to a more balanced “spindle-shaped” distribution. This is evidenced by a decrease in kurtosis and a rightward shift in the median. Spatial autocorrelation, as measured by the Global Moran’s I, evolved from a statistically insignificant distribution in 2011 to a strong positive correlation (0.223, p < 0.05) by 2022. This progression reflects a transition from isolated “unipolar” hubs to integrated “multi-center block linkages.” The results suggest that, although polarization is diminishing and the national innovation baseline is improving, policy efforts should prioritize the development of emerging innovation corridors to address the remaining east–west divide.