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This analysis reveals the climate change resiliency of toyon, highlighting migration limits for the species.
TARDIS recovers biologically realistic predictors of toyon flowering, and hindcast changes in flowering intensity indicate the species' range remains suitable after 125 years of changing climate. Overall, our results indicate toyon populations remain healthy, but may have limited opportunity to migrate northward as climate change continues.
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Dakduk et al. (2026) studied this question.
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