What question did this study set out to answer?

The research aims to project future scenarios for biodiversity in Britain due to climate and land-use changes.

April 3, 2026Nature CommunicationsOpen Access

Future scenarios for British biodiversity under climate and land-use change

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Projections reveal extensive biodiversity impacts in Britain, indicating urgent action is needed.

The research aims to project future scenarios for biodiversity in Britain due to climate and land-use changes.
Dissimilarity modelling used for projections.
Species assessed include 1002 plants, 56 butterflies, and 219 birds.
Scenarios extend to the year 2080.
Extensive community reorganisation anticipated with new bioclimates emerging.
Optimistic scenarios could reduce extinction risk by 32% for plants, 14% for butterflies, and 20% for birds.
Plants are expected to respond most severely to environmental changes.

Cooke et al. (2026) studied this question.

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