What question did this study set out to answer?

The goal is to project future scenarios of biodiversity in Great Britain due to climate and land-use changes.

April 11, 2026Open Access

Future scenarios for British biodiversity under climate and land-use change

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This analysis projects impacts of climate and land-use changes on biodiversity in Great Britain, indicating urgent action needed.

The goal is to project future scenarios of biodiversity in Great Britain due to climate and land-use changes.
Utilized dissimilarity modelling to assess species responses
Projected impacts for 1002 plant, 56 butterfly, and 219 bird species up to 2080
Explored single and combined effects of climate and land-use changes
Projected community reorganization and loss of current bioclimates
Optimistic scenarios could reduce extinction rates by 32% for plants, 14% for butterflies, and 20% for birds
Plants showed the most severe responses to environmental change

Cooke et al. (2026) studied this question.

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