What question did this study set out to answer?

To document the system upgrades, operational implementation, and subseasonal-to-seasonal predictive performance of the NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2).

September 25, 2013Journal of ClimateOpen Access

The NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2

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To document the system upgrades, operational implementation, and subseasonal-to-seasonal predictive performance of the NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2).
Implemented upgraded data assimilation and coupled atmosphere-ocean-land forecast model components into an operational framework.
Conducted a 32-year coupled reanalysis (1979–2010) to supply initial conditions for an extensive 29-year retrospective forecast run (1982–2010).
Increased the skillful prediction window for the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) from 6 days to 17 days.
Nearly doubled the prediction skill for seasonal 2-meter air temperatures over the United States.
Significantly improved global sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts compared to the previous operational model version.

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Implication

Model evaluation demonstrates superior subseasonal and seasonal predictive skill across atmospheric and oceanic variables, indicating improved utility for resource management and forecasting.

Cite This Study

Saha et al. (2013) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d6b57639aaaf0da5ab33ae https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00823.1

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Implication

Model evaluation demonstrates superior subseasonal and seasonal predictive skill across atmospheric and oceanic variables, indicating improved utility for resource management and forecasting.

The NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2

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Implication

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The NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2

Key Points

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Implication

Cite This Study

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