What question did this study set out to answer?

This research aims to understand how climate variability, agricultural productivity, and external factors influence food and beverage inflation in the U.S.

April 11, 2026Discover FoodOpen Access

The effects of climate variability agricultural total factor productivity and external drivers on food and beverage inflation in the United States

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Authors

LCLuis Eduardo Girón CruzPontificia Universidad Javeriana LSLya Paola Sierra-SuárezPontificia Universidad Javeriana

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Implication

Analysis reveals climate variability and external factors shape food inflation in the US, indicating complex interactions.

Key Points

This research aims to understand how climate variability, agricultural productivity, and external factors influence food and beverage inflation in the U.S.
Analyzed data from 1992.01 to 2024.05
Utilized the Actuaries Climate Index components to capture climate conditions
Incorporated agricultural total factor productivity and Global Supply Chain Pressure Index
Applied a quantile factor model to assess common dynamics from commodity prices
Integrated these factors into a FAVAR framework for analysis
External drivers significantly influence food and beverage inflation, especially in high percentiles of international food prices
Climate factors showed nuanced effects, with high-temperature frequency having a slight disinflationary effect
Agricultural total factor productivity only modestly reduces food and beverage inflation

Cite This Study

Cruz et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d9e6b078050d08c1b77048 https://doi.org/10.1007/s44187-026-00919-8

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The effects of climate variability agricultural total factor productivity and external drivers on food and beverage inflation in the United States

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Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

The effects of climate variability agricultural total factor productivity and external drivers on food and beverage inflation in the United States

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

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