What question did this study set out to answer?

To evaluate long-term low-carbon transition pathways, technological demands, and investment requirements for China to peak carbon emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality before 2060 under Paris Agreement constraints.

December 2, 2021Environmental Science and EcotechnologyOpen Access

Towards carbon neutrality: A study on China's long-term low-carbon transition pathways and strategies

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Authors

JHJiankun HeChinese Academy of Sciences ZLZheng LiCentral South University XZXiliang ZhangChina Meteorological Administration

Discussion

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Implication

Integrated scenario modeling reveals that achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 requires a 9.3% annual emissions reduction in China, highlighting substantial infrastructure investment demands.

Key Points

To evaluate long-term low-carbon transition pathways, technological demands, and investment requirements for China to peak carbon emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality before 2060 under Paris Agreement constraints.
Developed six long-term development scenarios aligned with the temperature limits set by the Paris Agreement.
Combined bottom-up simulations of energy consumption across end-use and power sectors with top-down macroeconomic evaluations of investment demand and technology deployment.
Achieving carbon neutrality before 2060 requires China to sustain an average annual carbon dioxide emissions reduction rate of 9.3% between 2030 and 2050.
Under the 1.5 °C pathway, capital investment in energy infrastructure alone must reach approximately 2.6% of China's annual gross domestic product.
Decarbonization trajectories depend on phased implementation within national planning, relying simultaneously on conventional mitigation tools and breakthrough energy technologies.

Cite This Study

He et al. (2021) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69dab3378988aeabbe6876cf https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ese.2021.100134

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December 2, 2021Environmental Science and EcotechnologyOpen Access

Towards carbon neutrality: A study on China's long-term low-carbon transition pathways and strategies

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark

Authors

JHJiankun HeChinese Academy of Sciences ZLZheng LiCentral South University XZXiliang ZhangChina Meteorological Administration

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Integrated scenario modeling reveals that achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 requires a 9.3% annual emissions reduction in China, highlighting substantial infrastructure investment demands.

Key Points

To evaluate long-term low-carbon transition pathways, technological demands, and investment requirements for China to peak carbon emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality before 2060 under Paris Agreement constraints.
Developed six long-term development scenarios aligned with the temperature limits set by the Paris Agreement.
Combined bottom-up simulations of energy consumption across end-use and power sectors with top-down macroeconomic evaluations of investment demand and technology deployment.
Achieving carbon neutrality before 2060 requires China to sustain an average annual carbon dioxide emissions reduction rate of 9.3% between 2030 and 2050.
Under the 1.5 °C pathway, capital investment in energy infrastructure alone must reach approximately 2.6% of China's annual gross domestic product.
Decarbonization trajectories depend on phased implementation within national planning, relying simultaneously on conventional mitigation tools and breakthrough energy technologies.

Cite This Study

He et al. (2021) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69dab3378988aeabbe6876cf https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ese.2021.100134

Also Consider

Synapse has enriched one closely related paper. Consider it for comparative context:

1Can China Peak Its Non-CO2GHG Emissions before 2030 by Implementing Its Nationally Determined Contribution?2019 · 53 citations

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