Key result
FIB-4 > 1.47 predicts ~420% higher odds of left atrial thrombus in paroxysmal AF.
Why the study?
Left atrial thrombus is a clinically important finding in nonvalvular AF, prompting investigation into its association with the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index as a marker of systemic fibrotic burden.
Does an elevated FIB-4 index predict the presence of left atrial thrombus in patients with nonvalvular paroxysmal atrial fibrillation?
Does an elevated FIB-4 index predict the presence of left atrial thrombus in patients with nonvalvular paroxysmal atrial fibrillation?
An elevated FIB-4 index is independently associated with left atrial thrombus in paroxysmal AF, though it does not significantly improve the discriminatory performance of the CHA2DS2-VASc score.
May improve LAT risk stratification in paroxysmal AF; extends fibrosis research but should not yet change practice.
Background/Objectives: Left atrial thrombus (LAT) is a clinically important finding in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index reflects systemic fibrotic burden. We investigated the association between FIB-4 and LAT. Methods: This retrospective study included 859 patients with nonvalvular paroxysmal AF undergoing transesophageal echocardiography (TEE). ROC analysis and multivariable logistic regression were performed. Results: Left atrial thrombus (LAT) was detected in 10.2% of patients. Patients with thrombus exhibited significantly higher admission FIB-4 scores compared to those without (1.5 vs. 1.1, p < 0.001). ROC analysis yielded an optimal FIB-4 cut-off of 1.47 (AUC: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.57–0.70, p < 0.001), providing 71.6% sensitivity and 72.0% specificity. After adjusting for CHA2DS2-VASc score, renal function, and left atrial diameter, a FIB-4 > 1.47 remained a strong independent predictor of LAT (OR: 5.200; 95% CI: 3.105–8.708, p < 0.001). However, the addition of FIB-4 to the CHA2DS2-VASc score did not significantly improve discriminatory performance (p = 0.314, DeLong’s test). Spearman’s correlation showed a modest relationship between FIB-4 and CHA2DS2-VASc (r = 0.321). Conclusions: Elevated FIB-4 index values are independently associated with LAT in patients with paroxysmal AF. This simple, noninvasive marker may reflect a systemic fibro-inflammatory milieu that promotes an atrial thrombogenic substrate beyond traditional clinical risk scores.
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Kafes et al. (2026) studied this question. A Fibrosis-4 index > 1.47 is a strong independent predictor of left atrial thrombus (OR: 5.200) in patients with nonvalvular paroxysmal atrial fibrillation.
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