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This research examines the impact of climate change on international law and Arctic geopolitics.

April 21, 2026AJIL UnboundOpen Access

Climate Change, the Arctic Threat Environment, and Legal Ramifications

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Analysis explores how climate change affects international law and geopolitics in the Arctic, highlighting potential conflicts.

This research examines the impact of climate change on international law and Arctic geopolitics.
Analysis of historical Arctic politics and legal frameworks
Exploration of emerging threats due to climate change
Assessment of potential scenarios involving cooperation and competition
Climate change acts as a threat multiplier in Arctic geopolitics.
Emerging conflicts include navigation rights, resource management, and Indigenous rights.
Future scenarios range from heightened cooperation to increased strategic competition.

Graefe et al. (2026) studied this question.

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