This theoretical synthesis demonstrates inevitable rare events in stochastic systems, highlighting innovative regulatory solutions.
This paper presents a formal synthesis of the "Swiss Cheese Theory," generalizing layered risk models into a fundamental law of system dynamics. The author introduces the "Thesis of Inevitability," providing a mathematical proof that in any multi-layer stochastic system, rare events (Black Swans) are not merely possible but structurally certain over time.The work bridges the gap between risk management and technological innovation, arguing that breakthrough phenomena like the Ontocomputer are as inevitable as systemic failures when theoretical and material layers align. Crucially, the paper positions the Intelligent Deterministic Decision Architecture (IDDA) as an "Active Regulator" designed to stabilize these inevitable alignments, moving autonomous intelligence from reactive mitigation to proactive, deterministic control.
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Piotr Pietruszewski (2026) studied this question.
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