Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is frequently preceded by new-onset diabetes mellitus (NODM), yet differentiating PDAC-associated DM from type 2 diabetes (T2D) remains clinically challenging. We investigated whether plasma proteomic profiling combined with machine learning could discriminate these conditions. Plasma samples from individuals with PDAC (with and without DM), long-standing T2D, and controls were analyzed by MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry. Spectral features were processed through a nested cross-validation framework to prevent data leakage, and model interpretability was explored using SHAP values. In parallel, low-molecular-weight proteins were characterized by GeLC-MS followed by LC-MS/MS and differential abundance analysis. Machine learning models distinguished PDAC-associated DM from T2D with a balanced accuracy of 85%. Proteomic analyses identified distinct signatures in PDAC- associated DM, including downregulation of erythrocyte-related proteins and PPBP, and upregulation of acute-phase reactants such as FGA, CP, and SERPINA3. Treatment-naïve cases displayed increased circulating epithelial and keratin-associated proteins, which were attenuated after therapy, suggesting dynamic tumor-related remodeling. These findings demonstrate that integrating MALDI-TOF profiling with machine learning can capture plasma signatures associated with PDAC-associated DM. Although exploratory, this approach supports further validation in prospective cohorts aimed at improving PDAC risk stratification among individuals with NODM. SIGNIFICANCE: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a highly lethal malignancy with a dismal 5-year survival rate, primarily due to late-stage diagnosis. The frequent occurrence of new-onset diabetes mellitus (NODM) as a paraneoplastic syndrome offers a critical window for early detection. However, the clinical challenge of distinguishing PDAC-associated diabetes (PDAC-DM) from type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) has hindered the implementation of effective screening strategies. This study addresses this significant clinical problem by leveraging a multi-faceted proteomics approach. We demonstrate that the integration of MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry peptide profiling with machine learning algorithms can accurately discriminate PDAC-DM from T2D with 85% accuracy. Furthermore, we used LC-MS/MS to identify specific low molecular weight proteins that are differentially regulated between these conditions, providing a molecular basis for the observed discrimination. Our work is significant as it presents a novel, high-throughput pipeline for biomarker discovery that combines the scalability of MALDI-TOF with the analytical power of LC-MS/MS and machine learning. The identified plasma signatures hold strong translational potential to improve risk stratification in patients with new-onset diabetes, ultimately enabling earlier diagnosis of PDAC and improving patient survival prospects. This research directly contributes to the field of clinical proteomics by providing a robust methodological framework and candidate biomarkers for the early detection of one of oncology's most challenging diseases.
Lázari et al. (Thu,) studied this question.